Digital Isolation: The Future of Internet in Iran Amid Shutdown

Sun Jan 18 2026 16:44:11 GMT+0200 (Eastern European Standard Time)

As Iran approaches two weeks of stringent internet restrictions, experts warn that this could mark the beginning of an era of permanent digital isolation. The implications for freedom of speech, daily life, and political dissent are profound.

Iran's comprehensive internet shutdown, now extending into its second week, is prompting fears of a move towards permanent digital isolation. Experts suggest that behind-the-scenes preparations may lead to increased surveillance and restrictions, limiting access to international internet services indefinitely. This crackdown comes amid protests and government efforts to suppress dissent, raising significant concerns about human rights and personal freedoms in the country.

Iran is currently experiencing one of the most extreme internet shutdowns in its history, with its 92 million citizens disconnected from all online services since January 8. This unprecedented move aims to suppress dissent and restrict international scrutiny of the ongoing government clampdown on protests.

Iranian officials, including Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, have justified the outage as a response to what they label as externally directed terrorist operations. No definitive timeline for restoring internet services has been provided, and reports suggest that authorities may be contemplating permanent restrictions on international web access.

According to sources from the Iranian government, international internet access might not resume until at least the Iranian New Year in late March. Observers from FilterWatch express concern that the government is rapidly implementing systems to further isolate Iran from the global internet, saying, No expectation of reopening international internet access should be held. This continued disconnection resembles past tactics employed during significant protests across Iran.

Human rights and internet freedom organizations warn that the shutdown threatens lives and allows the state to conceal human rights violations, as evidenced by the troubling impact on e-commerce and personal livelihoods. Furthermore, reports suggest significant casualties and arrests during the protests, with ongoing challenges in verifying these figures due to the lack of communication.

In the evolving landscape of internet access, experts predict Iran's trajectory may align with systems seen in Russia and China, where strict regulations and extensive censorship have become the norm. As the Iranian regime appears poised to transition to a more controlled internet system, the question boils down to political willingness rather than technical feasibility.

Despite the Iranian government's efforts to clamp down, emerging technologies like low Earth orbit satellite internet services present complexities for state control. Moreover, experts believe that while oppressive regimes will persist, the potential for universal access to the internet remains on the horizon.