German Intelligence Agency's Lab Leak Assessment Revealed

Wed Jul 30 2025 06:48:57 GMT+0300 (Eastern European Summer Time)
German Intelligence Agency's Lab Leak Assessment Revealed

BND believed there was a significant likelihood that Covid-19 originated from a lab accident.


Recent revelations indicate Germany's foreign intelligence service, BND, assessed a high probability that Covid-19 accidentally leaked from a lab in Wuhan, China, challenging the widely accepted natural origin theory.


Germany's federal intelligence agency, the Bundesnachrichtendienst (BND), reportedly estimated an 80-90% chance that the coronavirus pandemic originated from an accidental leak at a laboratory. This information has surfaced from investigative reports by two German newspapers revealing previously undisclosed assessments made by the BND in 2020.

The BND's investigation, dubbed Project Saaremaa, scrutinized the activities at the Wuhan Institute of Virology, highlighting concerns that the facility was engaged in research aimed at enhancing the transmissibility of certain viruses. Despite this assessment, the organization lacked definitive proof to conclusively establish the lab leak theory.

Following these revelations, the Chinese government reaffirmed its stance, asserting that the origins of Covid-19 should be determined exclusively by scientific inquiry. They have persistently pointed to a World Health Organization investigation that deemed the lab leak theory "extremely unlikely." The global scientific community remains divided, with some experts either firmly endorsing or vehemently opposing the lab leak hypothesis.

According to Die Zeit and Sueddeutsche Zeitung, findings from the BND's investigation were presented to the CIA last autumn. The CIA later concluded that a "research-related origin" was more probable than a natural spillover from animals, although they noted their confidence in this assertion was low.

Following the BND’s disclosures, outgoing Chancellor Olaf Scholz and the intelligence agency declined to comment. Meanwhile, China's Foreign Ministry dismissed such assessments, arguing that a lab leak conclusion lacks scientific foundation and asserting that previous investigations conducted by the WHO involved comprehensive examinations of local labs and were widely endorsed.

Prominent scientists have raised alarms regarding the initial findings of the WHO investigation, asserting they inadequately examined the lab leak theory. The narrative that Covid-19 has a natural origin—a claim that has been the prevailing view since the pandemic began—is increasingly called into question, particularly as experts have yet to identify a specific animal host linking to its genetic composition.

As the debate continues, the BND's revelations add a new layer of complexity, provoking renewed discussions about the nature of Covid-19's origins amid an evolving global pandemic landscape.

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