Belarusian Elections: A Stagnant Scene Amidst Repression

As the January 2025 presidential elections in Belarus draw near, the atmosphere in the country remains apathetic and rife with skepticism, as Alexander Lukashenko continues to face accusations of authoritarianism. Despite the presence of other candidates, the outcome seems predetermined, with Lukashenko projected to secure another term, thereby perpetuating an era marked by repression and fear.

In January 2025, Belarus finds itself ensnared in a sense of stagnation as the presidential election approaches. Drive through Minsk, and the absence of electoral fervor is palpable; there are no grand billboards showcasing diverse candidates, nor the vigorous campaigning often seen in electoral periods. The overcast winter skies serve as a backdrop to an overarching sentiment of inevitability.

Alexander Lukashenko, often referred to as "Europe's last dictator," has been wielding power in Belarus since 1994, and indications are that he will be declared the winner of the election, securing a seventh consecutive term. His supporters laud this outcome as a testament to "Belarusian democracy," whereas his critics dismiss the process as an illusionary farce. Even Lukashenko himself has openly expressed disinterest in the campaign, stating, "I’m not following the election campaign. I’ve got no time."

Four years post the contentious 2020 elections that sparked massive protests—where protestors accused him of vote theft—the environment has significantly changed. Those who protest face crackdowns, and the opposition remains largely imprisoned or exiled. This reality has led the European Parliament to decry the upcoming elections as mere window dressing, reflecting a lack of democratic integrity.

Discussions with other candidates reveal a lack of genuine competition. Take Sergei Syrankov, the favored candidate from the Communist Party who declares, "There is no alternative," proposing to run alongside Lukashenko rather than against him. His campaign claim is a stark example of the political theater at play: "Not instead of, but together with Lukashenko!"

Similarly, Oleg Gaidukevich of the Liberal-Democratic Party admitted, “It’s obvious that Lukashenko will win. He has a massive rating,” while emphasizing the need for positioning for future elections rather than contesting this one.

Despite criticisms, some citizens express a preference for the status quo fearing a shift towards instability. “God forbid we should end up like Ukraine,” a resident remarked, highlighting concerns of potential chaos should a new leader emerge.

In Belarus, fear of the unknown looms, further consolidating Lukashenko’s grip on power as inaction and repression continue to characterize the political landscape.