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PoliticsUnited Kingdom, United States

Brexit and Trump: Diverging Paths of Populism

The contrasting trajectories of Brexit and Trump's presidency reveal significant political lessons

By David RuncimanSource: nytimes.com1 min read

In brief

Brexit and Trump's narratives have evolved differently, highlighting unique challenges and cautionary tales.

On August 18, 2016, Donald Trump made headlines by tweeting, “They will soon be calling me MR BREXIT!” His sudden association with Brexit was surprising, especially since only months prior, he seemed unfamiliar with the term. An exchange with Michael Wolff showed his bewilderment over Brexit until he eventually aligned himself with the movement advocating for the UK to leave the European Union—a sentiment that coincided with his rising presidential ambitions. The summer of 2016 has since been remembered as a pivotal moment, intertwining the fates of Brexit and Trump as reflections of a populist surge. However, as Trump reclaimed the presidency, it became apparent that Brexit and Trump reflect diverging paths, raising critical discussions about their respective futures.Brexit symbolized a dual concept: an attempt to reclaim Britain’s sovereignty and influence, while simultaneously a disruption of the existing political framework. However, after a Brexit agreement was finally reached in 2020, it became evident that traditional British politicians opted to integrate Brexit into the established political structure rather than dismantle it. The original promise of creating an alternative to conventional politics has faltered, leaving Brexiteers to clamor for remnants of the vision they had championed.Contrastingly, Trump’s second term has portrayed a starkly different narrative. Initially constrained by the political establishment during his first term, he faced a setback when he lost the election but claimed fraudulent activity. This time, he is driven to dismantle institutional norms that previously limited his authority. However, his strategy generates uncertainty about the aftermath of his aggressive dismantling of alliances and agreements—ultimately leading to chaos without a clear agenda. While Brexit and Trump were once seen as complementary movements of populism, they now present separate cautionary tales, each underscoring the distinct pitfalls of their current trajectories.

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