India Faces Economic Turmoil as Early Summer Disrupts Agriculture and Industry**

Mon Mar 10 2025 10:05:17 GMT+0200 (Eastern European Standard Time)
India Faces Economic Turmoil as Early Summer Disrupts Agriculture and Industry**

Rising temperatures are wreaking havoc on farms and factories, leading to significant losses and operational shifts across the nation.**


As early summer temperatures rise, farmers and small business owners in India are struggling to adapt, with yields dropping and sales slumping, raising concerns about economic repercussions.**

In a worrying trend, the advent of early summer is causing significant turmoil in India's agricultural and industrial sectors, as temperatures soar to record levels. Nitin Goel, who has run a clothing business in Ludhiana for over five decades, reports dramatic shifts in his production line. "We've had to pivot to making t-shirts instead of sweaters, as winters continue to shorten," he shared with BBC News. His sales have plummeted by half over the past five years, suffering an additional 10% decline this season alone.

According to the Indian Meteorological Department, last month marked the hottest February India has experienced in 125 years, significantly impacting farming and production plans. This heatwave is not just an inconvenience; it represents a systemic threat, sending ripples throughout the nation's economy.

The retailer climate has also tightened, with many clients hesitant to accept confirmed orders amid soaring temperatures. Retailers are increasingly adopting "sale or return" schemes, pushing risks onto the manufacturers like Goel, who now finds himself discounting merchandise heavily.

Far away, in Maharashtra's orchards, farmers face dire consequences as the heat reduces the yield of prized Alphonso mangoes to roughly 30% of previous norms. Notably, farmer Vidyadhar Joshi is already scaling back operations, even sending seasonal laborers back to Nepal due to dwindling work. While India's Agriculture Ministry remains optimistic about overall wheat production, experts warn of potential challenges reflecting those from last year’s severe heatwaves.

An alarming forecast projects that three-quarters of India's districts are now classified as "extreme event hotspots," indicative of a growing crisis. Water scarcity is looming, with northern reservoir levels currently at only 28% of their capacity—down from 37% last year. Climate experts assert that agricultural productivity could continue to decline, predicting a grim future for food prices and inflation.

With rural consumption being a key driver of India’s GDP, increased production failures could hinder economic recovery efforts. Experts recommend urgent measures, including enhanced weather forecasting, agricultural insurance, and climate-adaptive cropping strategies, to mitigate the risks associated with unpredictable climate changes.

India’s vulnerability to climate change necessitates immediate action, or the nation may face crippling economic disruption alongside the suffering caused by extreme heat.

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