Predicted Presidential Shift: Lee Jae-myung Leads in South Korea's Turbulent Election

Thu Jul 31 2025 00:54:57 GMT+0300 (Eastern European Summer Time)
Predicted Presidential Shift: Lee Jae-myung Leads in South Korea's Turbulent Election

In a significant election reshaping South Korea’s political landscape, exit polls indicate Lee Jae-myung could emerge victorious, capitalizing on public dissent against ousted President Yoon Suk Yeol.


As South Korea heads to the conclusion of its highly contentious presidential election, recent exit polls suggest that Lee Jae-myung, the center-left candidate of the Democratic Party, is on track for a decisive win. Riding a wave of discontent towards former President Yoon Suk Yeol, who has faced backlash for imposing martial law in December, Mr. Lee's campaign appears successful. The exit polls predict he will secure 51.7% of votes against the People Power Party's Kim Moon-soo, who trails with 39.3%, while third-party candidate Lee Jun-seok holds 7.7%.

Voter turnout is notably high at over 79%, signaling an engaged electorate eager for change after months of political upheaval that led to Yoon’s impeachment and removal. If confirmed, Lee Jae-myung's ascension could mean a powerful presidency, with substantial support from the National Assembly where his party holds the majority. However, he faces a daunting array of challenges, including economic revitalization and a complex international stance with critical relations with both the U.S. and China.

Key issues such as national unity amid growing political polarization, economic revitalization, and managing relations with regional powers underscore the critical nature of this election. Young voters, particularly disillusioned by the status quo, are marking their ballots against the backdrop of a recent history defined by public protests. Lee’s commitment to economic reform and improved diplomatic ties resonates, but his ongoing legal struggles raise questions about his tenure should he take office.

The National Election Commission's final announcement is anticipated Wednesday, with potential far-reaching consequences for the Republic of Korea’s future leadership and national policy direction.

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