US-Ukraine Minerals Agreement: Key Insights and Future Implications**

Fri Feb 28 2025 12:33:21 GMT+0200 (Eastern European Standard Time)
US-Ukraine Minerals Agreement: Key Insights and Future Implications**

Ukraine and the US gear up for a minerals deal, highlighting the complexities of security guarantees amid ongoing tensions.**


As President Zelensky prepares to meet Trump to sign a minerals agreement, the implications for security and economic stability remain uncertain, with both sides navigating delicate negotiations.**

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Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelensky is scheduled to meet with US President Donald Trump in Washington on Friday to finalize a pivotal agreement allowing US access to Ukraine's rare earth minerals. This minerals deal was first broached by Zelensky during the previous electoral campaign and is now on the verge of formalization.

Although the deal has not yet been officially detailed, Prime Minister Denys Shmyhal remarked that both nations have settled on a draft agreement. It is anticipated that an "investment fund" will be established for Ukraine's reconstruction, with both the US and Ukraine sharing management responsibilities equally. Ukraine is poised to contribute half of the earnings from its state-owned mineral resources, oil, and gas towards this fund, which aims to invest in domestic projects.

Zelensky has confirmed awareness of the fund's structure but cautioned that it remains premature to talk specifics regarding financial commitments. Early reports have indicated that while the US might hold a portion of the fund in compliance with domestic law, negotiations on the share structure are still ongoing. Recent tensions between Zelensky and Trump stem from earlier disagreements on the scope of US mineral ownership sought by Washington, a demand reportedly abandoned following pushback from Kyiv.

One of the critical elements of the ongoing discussions is the security guarantee, which Zelensky has been advocating for. Despite his hopes, no concrete assurances have been rendered, leading him to express concerns about the feasibility of the agreement without firm security commitments. Shmyhal affirmed that Ukraine won't proceed with signing until both leaders agree on security stipulations. Trump has hinted that any security provisions would largely fall under European responsibility while suggesting that US presence in Ukraine could serve as a form of "automatic security."

The minerals deal has significant geopolitical implications, especially given that Ukraine is believed to house approximately 5% of the world's critical raw materials. This includes substantial deposits of graphite, used in electric vehicle batteries, alongside other crucial resources such as titanium and lithium. However, a considerable portion of these resources remains under Russian control due to the ongoing conflict, with an estimated $350bn worth still in occupied areas.

The urgency of solidifying this deal is compounded by the need to address the myriad of unexploded landmines that plague Ukraine's land, particularly in conflict-heavy regions. Any potential agreements will be closely monitored by both American and Russian interests amid high-stakes international relations.

While Trump prepares to sign the agreement, reactions from Russia remain muted, with President Vladimir Putin recently signaling willingness to engage in joint resource projects in occupied territories. As these discussions unfold, the outcomes of the upcoming meeting between Zelensky and Trump will significantly shape Ukraine's economic landscape amidst its current geopolitical struggles.

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