Alberta's Future: Independence or Closer Ties with the U.S.?

Tue Jun 17 2025 12:54:47 GMT+0300 (Eastern European Summer Time)
Alberta's Future: Independence or Closer Ties with the U.S.?

Growing sentiments of separation in Alberta fuel undercurrents of tension in Canadian politics as the federal election approaches.


As Alberta grapples with its future, many residents are expressing a desire for greater autonomy, with some even advocating for independence or closer ties with the United States. Recent political dynamics and the influence of the Trump administration have intensified discussions on this topic.

In a small event hall packed with community members in Lethbridge, Dennis Modry, a retired heart surgeon and co-leader of the Alberta Prosperity Project, initiated a discussion about the potential future of Alberta. The audience responded vigorously, with many indicating their support for independence, or even joining the United States. "We're interested in Alberta sovereignty," Modry insisted, reflecting growing frustration with the current administration's policies.

The separatist movement is not a new concept in Alberta, but it has gained momentum amid rising discontent with the federal Liberal government. Comments by former U.S. President Donald Trump, suggesting that Canada could become the 51st state, have further fueled the debate, pushing issues of Western alienation into the spotlight.

Preston Manning, an influential figure in Canadian conservatism, has openly criticized the Liberal Party for neglecting Western interests, claiming this neglect could lead to greater calls for separation if the party wins again in the federal election. This sentiment of "Western alienation" has simmered for years, particularly among the oil and gas sectors of Alberta and Saskatchewan, which perceive that their contributions to Canada's economy are overlooked.

With an election looming, surveys indicate that the Liberal Party could secure a fourth term, primarily benefiting from increased support in eastern provinces. This intensifies the regional divide, sparking further discontent in Alberta. Judy Schneider, whose family is entrenched in the oil industry, expressed her conviction to vote "yes" for independence, questioning the authenticity of leaders claiming to represent Alberta.

Currently, the prospect of independence remains unlikely, with polls suggesting a divided public sentiment. However, many Albertans believe that even discussions around independence need to be taken seriously to ensure their grievances are addressed. Alberta Premier Danielle Smith has echoed this sentiment, advocating for a "national unity crisis," unless the new prime minister considers the province's demands promptly.

Debates within the separatist movement reveal differing opinions on autonomy and collaboration. While some push for an independent Alberta, others seek a better deal within the Canadian union. For instance, Lorna Guitton views the current relationship with Ottawa as "broken" and believes threatening a referendum is vital for negotiations.

Conversely, rancher and lawyer Jeffrey Rath highlights the cultural similarities between Albertans and Americans, suggesting that formal ties with the U.S. would be beneficial. He proposes forming connections with Washington and argues that Alberta's ideology aligns more closely with that of certain American states.

For now, the call for greater representation and fair treatment persists in Alberta. Most voters want unity over division, emphasizing the need for a stronger voice in federal politics. Even as some gravitate towards the Liberal Party's leadership under Mark Carney, opinions differ on the impact of potential separation. By navigating these complex sentiments, Alberta's political landscape remains at a crossroads as it approaches its future.

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